Tag: # Three Child Policy

Will China’s ‘Three child policy’ be a Warning sign for India?

China released it’s 7th  National Population Census on 11th May, 2021 which showed the data of decreased birth rate in the country. China’s ageing population is increasing and birth rate is declining, concerned Chinese government in order to boost the level of fertility announced 6 years after the ‘two child policy’ to allow the married couple to have three children(‘three child policy’- 2021).

The census record shows the data of 264 million in the age group of 60 and above- 5.44% increase since-2010, 894 million in the age group of 15-59 – 6.79% decrease since-2010. The working group of china [age 15-59] was 925 million in 2011 was down to 894 million in this census.

 Main Reason for decline in the birth rate:

  • China’s One child policy 1979 – one child per family to control the population explosion. It reduced the youth rate and led to more old people.
  • The low impact of ‘Two child policy’ 2016 – financial problem was one of the main reason stated by people for not having many kids.
  • Change in the mind set of the people- an online poll conducted on 31/5/21 stated that out of 31,000 respondents 28,000 would not consider having 3 children and 1,600 said they would, SCMP report.

 Why India should consider China’s situation as a warning?

India is one of the youngest country in the world with 62%+ population in the working age group. It is facing population explosion for a long time, excessive birth control measures here could  lead the country to china’s current situation where the country would become old before becoming rich. In India, the places Sikkim and Lakshadweep are already facing the challenge of ageing population, reduced workforce. Ageing population and low birth rate will lead a country to not have enough youth to take care of the old, aged people would suffer and the country will also face more problems.

 

India currently needs to sustain population stabilization. The fertility rate is below replacement level in some state, Sikkim, Andhra Pradesh, Delhi, Kerala and Karnataka. Replacement level is level of fertility required to have the same population level from generation to generation.