What is going to happen in Afghanistan ?

US president Joe biden has chosen 11 September , 2021 as the date when all the US troops would be completely out of Afghanistan ie he chose the anniversary of 9 /11 attacks as the troopers’ last day . The withdrawal is going to cause a vacuum in Afghanistan as Afghan military is not going to be sufficient to fight against Taliban alone. Taliban already claims to have 85 percent of the country under its control. Also their recent demand for women starting from age 15 for marraige to the commanders has been opposed and criticised a lot by afghans as well as other non Afghan entities . Thousands of people have lost their homes and have been relocated in refugee camps.

Where there is more instability , military presence can be seen easily whether we take example of Afghanistan or Myanmar . The vaccum created by the withdrawal of US troops would need to be filled or else Taliban is going to sweep accross whole of the country.

Taliban has stated that it will be their decision about what to do to any force or troops that remain in Afghanistan after 11 September. If Taliban do not take all Afghan interests in account , then there will be no peace and stability in the country. But observing the current situation one can say that there is a possibility of civil war as Taliban is not going to give way to any other entity.

After the events , Taliban has gained legitimacy which means India will have to engage directly with Taliban now. Recently we had to withdraw our diplomats and other offce bearers out of Kandhar and other provinces as there was a possibility of war seen at that time. India needs to be active and patient in order to see results in Afghanistan .

Twin Attacks in Jammu

Two low powered bomb blasts shocked the technical area of Jammu Air Force Station early on Sunday morning. It is the first ever bombing by quadcopter drones in India. This was the first terror attack on an armed forces quarters since 2018 when Jaish-e-Mohammed operatives harmed an Indian Army camp in Sunjuwan, Jammu.

After two explosives-loaded drones collapsed into the high-security Indian Air Force station at Jammu airport, a warning was announced in Punjab’s border district of Pathankot, news agency PTI reported on Sunday.

Officials conveyed the news agency that tight security was being maintained near key systems in Pathankot. The Pathankot air base had come under terror attack in 2016. According to the report, patrolling has been increased near sensitive areas in and around Pathankot and additional forces have been arranged.

Sharing the details about the extra security measures in wake of the Jammu incident, Pathankot SSP Surendra Lamba told PTI that workforces were on our guard in view of the situation. “Whenever there is an incident of this kind, maximum alert is sounded in neighboring areas,” he said.

Details

According to information received, the explosions occurred around 1:45 am on Sunday morning, with the first one taking out the rooftop of a building while the second one, almost five minutes later, was on the ground in an open area. While there were no reports of any fatalities, two Indian Air Force (IAF) employees—License officer Arvind Singh and airman S K Singh — got minor injuries. An FIR has been recorded under the Unlawful Activities (Prevention) Act, or UAPA. While a suspect has been picked up for questioning, J&K DGP Dilbagh Singh, who called the blasts as a “terror attack”, said an “IED weighing 5-6 kgs was recovered by Jammu police” which was to be implanted by an operator of Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT) in some crowded area, he added.

The two blasts occurred hours before Defence Minister Rajnath Singh and Army Chief General MM Naravane were to start a three-day visit to Ladakh, to converse with the troops and review India’s operational readiness in the background of a long standoff with China. Singh studied the situation by speaking to IAF vice chief Air Marshal H S Arora, while Delhi-based Western Air Command Chief Air Marshal V R Chaudhari flew to Jammu to take stock of the situation.

Effect

While the National Investigation Agency (NIA) has been fastened in to lead the investigation, a terror alert has also been announced at the Pathankot air force base in Punjab which was the aim of a terror attack in 2016 in which six terrorists and seven security personnel were killed. There was no loss of any equipment and flight operations were also unaffected, according to Jammu Airport Director Pravat Ranjan Beuria. However, two flights — G8 185 and SG 963 — were called off for what airport authorities said were operational reasons. While Jammu airport is a civil airport, the runway and the ATC (air traffic control) are under the IAF. Technical area of an airport is usually a high security zone used for VIP and military flight operations.